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Showing posts with the label stock market forecast

I Built a $0.99 Market Brief That Grades Itself in Public

I went looking at what AI stock forecasting costs. The big name is VantagePoint. Its own package page lists its forecasting software at $2,900, $5,900, and $10,900 — one-time licenses, with extra markets and extra tools sold on top of that. The headline claim is "up to 87.4% accuracy." Here is my problem with that. Before I pay $2,900, I cannot scroll through the full call-by-call record behind the 87.4%. I am asked to trust the number first and check later. So I built the opposite. CrossTide Signals is my daily market-direction brief. Every trading morning it calls SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, gold, oil, and Bitcoin up or down, and gives a probability for each call. Every call goes into a public log BEFORE the outcome is known. Afterward it gets graded, in public. The misses stay on the page next to the hits. The record so far, stated exactly: 10 calls graded, 50.0% hit rate, Brier score 0.253, on calls issued November 6 through November 9, 2026. The service is on Day 2 of a ...